Russia Analytical Report, May 23-June 6, 2022 | Russia Matters

2022-07-30 01:37:48 By : Mr. Gary Lee

“Putin, Pretext, and the Dark Side of the “Responsibility to Protect,” John Reid, War on the Rocks, 05.27.22. The author, an active-duty Air Force officer assigned as the Staff Judge Advocate for Special Operations Command Europe, writes:

“It’s Time to End the Age of Impunity,” David Miliband, Foreign Policy, 06.03.22. The author,  president and CEO of the International Rescue Committee and a former foreign secretary of the United Kingdom, writes: 

“Not Built for Purpose: The Russian Military’s Ill-Fated Force Design,” Michael Kofman and Rob Lee, War on the Rocks, 06.02.22. The authors, the director of the Russia Studies Program at CNA and a senior fellow in the Foreign Policy Research Institute’s Eurasia Program, write:

“Putin’s Hard Choices: Why the Russian Despot Can Neither Mobilize Nor Retreat,” Michael Kimmage and Maria Lipman, FA, 05.31.22. The authors, a professor of history at the Catholic University of America and a senior visiting fellow at the Institute of European, Russian and Eurasian Studies of The George Washington University, write:

“Would We Do Better? Hubris and Validation in Ukraine,” David E. Johnson, War on the Rocks, 05.31.22. The author, a principal researcher at RAND, writes:

“'We are barely raking out': Kyiv's statements about the situation in the Donbas are becoming more and more alarming. Perhaps a major defeat awaits Ukraine there,” Meduza, 05.26.22. The Russian-language news outlet reports:

“Biden must stop the promiscuous publicizing of U.S. intelligence,” John R. Bolton, WP, 05.25.22. The author, a former U.S. national security adviser to Donald Trump, writes:

“Economist Branko Milanovic on the causes and consequences of the war: Russian elites will learn in the future they are better off without centralized power,” interview conducted by Vyacheslav Dvornikov for The Bell, 05.23.22. In this interview, Milanovic, a senior scholar at the Stone Center on Socio-economic Inequality, says:

“Using Russian assets to rebuild Ukraine won’t be easy,” Gillian Tett, FT, 05.26.22. The author, chair of FT’s editorial board, writes:

“Russian asset seizures must follow the law,” Editorial Board, FT, 06.05.22. The news outlet’s editorial board writes:

“Now is the time to help Ukraine by stepping up sanctions on Russia,” Andriy Yermak, FT, 05.25.22. The author, chief of staff to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, writes:

“Sanctions Should Punish Putin, Not His Opponents,” Leonid Gozman, FP, 05.23.22. The author, a Russian commentator and politician, writes:

“Russians look to Iran for lessons on life under long-term sanctions,” Miriam Berger, WP, 05.26.22. The author, a staff writer for the news outlet, writes:

“The Russia sanctions will transform the global economy,” Creon Butler, Chatham House, 05.27.22. The author, a research director for Chatham House, writes:

“‘Everything is gone’: Russian business hit hard by tech sanctions,” Anna Gross and Max Seddon, FT, 06.02.22. The authors, a correspondent and the Moscow bureau chief for the news outlet, write:

“Ukraine’s Best Chance for Peace,” Samuel Charap, FA, 06.01.22. The author, a senior political scientist at RAND, writes:

“When Will Russia’s War on Ukraine End? Religion and Security Strategies,” Lucian N. Leustean, NYU’s Jordan Center/ Religion Unplugged, 05.24.22. The author, a reader in politics and international relations at the U.K.’s Aston University, writes:

“What If Ukraine Wins? Victory in the War Would Not End the Conflict With Russia, Liana Fix and Michael Kimmage, FA, 06.06.22. The authors, the program director in the international affairs department of the Körber Foundation and a professor of history at the Catholic University of America, write:

"Dealing with Horrible Leaders Is Part of the History of International Relations", Graham Allison’s Interview to Der Spiegel, 05.20.22. In this interview, the Douglas Dillon Professor of Government at Harvard University says:

“President Biden: What America Will and Will Not Do in Ukraine,” Joe Biden, NYT, 05.31.22. The U.S. President writes:

“Biden hunkers down for a long, limited war in Ukraine,” David Ignatius, WP, 06.02.22. The author, a columnist for the news outlet, writes:

Main propositions related to Russian-Ukrainian war made by Henry Kissinger at Davos-2022 on 05.23.22:

Main propositions related to Russian-Ukrainian war made by George Soros at Davos-2022 on 05.24.22: 

“Kissinger vs. Soros on Russia,” Walter Russell Mead, WSJ, 05.26.22. The author, the Ravenel B. Curry III Distinguished Fellow in Strategy and Statesmanship at Hudson Institute, writes:

“Russia Is Down. But It’s Not Out,” Andrea Kendall-Taylor and Michael Kofman, NYT, 06.02.22. The authors, a senior fellow at the Center for a New American Security abd the director of Russian studies at the research institute CNA, write:

“Cold War Catastrophes the U.S. Can Avoid This Time,” Anatol Lieven, The Atlantic, 06.01.22. The author, a senior fellow at the Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft, writes:

“The delusion of a global democratic rebirth through war,” Anatol Lieven, Responsible Statecraft, 05.23.22. The author, a senior fellow at the Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft, writes:

“Weaken, but don’t ruin, Russia,” Michael O’Hanlon and Melanie W. Sisson, The Hill, 05.18.22. The authors, the Philip H. Knight Chair in Defense and Strategy at the Brookings Institution and a fellow in the Foreign Policy program’s Center for Security, Strategy and Technology at the Brookings, write:

“Why any U.S. push for regime change in Moscow is a bad idea,” Anatol Lieven and Ted Snider, Responsible Statecraft, 05.25.22. The authors, a senior fellow at the Quincy Institute and a contributor to Responsible Statecraft, write:

“We Can’t Be Ukraine Hawks Forever,” Ross Douthat, NYT, 06.06.22. The author, a columnist for the news outlet, writes:

“Will Teaching Aggressors a Lesson Deter Future Wars?” Steven Walt, FP, 06.02.22. The author, the Robert and Renée Belfer professor of international relations at Harvard University, writes:

“The west is starting to feel Ukraine fatigue,” Edward Luce, FT, 06.02.22. The author, U.S. national editor for the news outlet, writes:

“The west is divided over how the war in Ukraine must end,” Sylvie Kauffmann, FT 05.25.22. The author, a columnist at Le Monde, writes:

“The U.S. Can’t Force the Rest of the World to Support Ukraine. Here’s Why,” Daniel R. DePetris and Rajan Menon, Politico, 05.25.22. The authors, a fellow at Defense Priorities and a

senior research fellow at the Saltzman Institute of War and Peace Studies at Columbia University, write:

“Ukraine and the start of a second cold war,” Gideon Rachman, FT, 06.06.22. The author, chief foreign affairs columnist for the news outlet, writes:

“Putin Is Going to Lose His War,” Anders Åslund, FA, 05.26.22.  The author, a senior fellow at the Stockholm Free World Forum, writes:

Nikolai Patrushev’s Interview: “Truth is on our side,” Argumenty i Fakty, 05.24.22. In this interview, secretary of Russia’s Security Council, says:

“Russia’s National Security Narrative: All Quiet on the Eastern Front,” Eugene Rumer and Richard Sokolsky, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, 05.23.22. The authors, the director of Carnegie’s Russia and Eurasia Program and a nonresident senior fellow in the program, write:

“The Russia-Ukraine War: A Setback for Arms Control,” Steven Pifer, CISAC, 05.23.22. The author, William J. Perry Research Fellow at the Center for International Security and Cooperation and a non-resident senior fellow with the Brookings Institution, writes:

"Why Putin’s betrayal of Ukraine could trigger nuclear proliferation," Steven Pifer, BAS 06.01.22. The author, William J. Perry Research Fellow at the Center for International Security and Cooperation and a non-resident senior fellow with the Brookings Institution, writes:

“What we got wrong about nuclear risk reduction,” Heather Williams, The Hill, 05.23.22. The author, director of the Project on Nuclear Issues and senior fellow in the International Security Program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, writes:

“Can the World Avoid a Cyber-Nuclear Catastrophe?” Ariel E. Levite, NI, 06.05.22. The author, a senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment’s Technology and International Affairs Program, writes:

“Once Unthinkable: Subsidies for American Oil Drillers,” Matt Phillips, Axios, 06.01.22 . The author, who writes the  Axios Markets newsletter , reports:  

“U.S. Technology, a Longtime Tool for Russia, Becomes a Vulnerability,” Ana Swanson, John Ismay and Edward Wong, NYT, 06.02.22. The n ews outlet reports:

“Almost no one is satisfied,” Meduza, 05.24.22. The Russian-language media outlet reports:

“Putin Against History,” Andrei Kolesnikov, FA, 05.26.22. The author, a senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, writes:

“An autocracy tightening the screws,” Alexander Kynev, Russia.Post, 06.01.22. The author, a Russian political scientist, writes:

“Erroneous predictions: Political scientist Kirill Rogov on why Russia’s invasion of Ukraine isn’t just ‘Putin’s war,’” Kirill Rogov, Meduza, 05.31.22. The author, a Russian political scientist, writes:

“Russia’s fraying economy: consumers start to feel the pinch of sanctions,” Polina Ivanova, FT, 06.01.22. The author, Moscow correspondent for the news outlet, writes:

“My husband is in a Russian jail for speaking the truth,” Evgenia Kara-Murza, WP, 06.01.22. The author, project manager of the Free Russia Foundation and wife of Russian opposition politician Vladimir Kara-Murza, writes:

“Russian Public Opinion And Putin’s Invasion Of Ukraine,” Henry Hale, BEAR Network-PONARS Eurasia Conference, April 2022. The author, professor of political science and international affairs at George Washington University, writes:

“Ready to Protest? Calculating Protest Potential in Russian Regional Capitals,” Irina Busygina and Ekaterina Paustyan, PONARS Eurasia, 06.05.22. The authors, a professor at the Higher School of Economics in St. Petersburg and  a postdoctoral researcher at the Universität Bremen, write: 

“‘They break the rules of war’: Ukraine conflict fuels Russian military brutality,” John Paul Rathbone, FT, 06.03.22. T he author, defense and security correspondent for the news outlet, writes

“The Future of Western-Russian Civil-Space Cooperation,” Jeremy Grunert, War on the Rocks, 05.26.22. The author, an assistant professor in the department of law at the United States Air Force Academy, writes:

See section Military aspects of the Ukraine conflict and their impacts above.

“Russia’s War Against Ukraine And Ukraine’s Challenge To Europe,” Milada Anna Vachudova, BEAR Network-PONARS Eurasia Conference, April 2022. The author, an associate professor of political science at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, writes:

“Measuring the impact of partisanship on attitudes toward the U.S. response to the Russia-Ukraine war,” Shibley Telhami and Stella M. Rouse, Brookings, 05.22.22. The authors, a nonresident senior fellow with the Center for Middle East Policy at Brookings and a professor in the department of government and politics at the University of Maryland, write:

“Nagorno-Karabakh in the Shadow of Ukraine,” Thomas de Waal, FA, 05.30.22. The author, a senior fellow at Carnegie Europe, writes:

“Kazakhstan Takes a Step Toward Democracy,” Kamran Bokhari, WSJ, 06.05.22. The author, director of analytical development at the New Lines Institute for Strategy and Policy, writes: